Opportunity This Week
The carry trade pairs seem to be on the comeback this week. Despite general weakness on GBP recently the GBP/JPY is looking like its in a solid rebound and even the GBP/CHF has leveled off. At this point, however, I would not ignore some of the great opportunities, using this same strategy, in the AUD/JPY and AUD/CHF. Both of those pairs have been moving nicely and offer a great premium. It is good to diversify a little anyway.
The trend in favor of the commodity currencies also seems to have some new life this week as well. The USD/CAD has continued Friday’s drop, the NZD is looking strong and don’t forget some of the great crosses like the CAD/JPY. Although the UK inflation numbers were flat today, I think we still have a lot of room to move on these pair.
AUD/JPY Breaking Resistance
Right now, I think our best trades are with the prevalent trends. Until we get better evidence that the fundamentals are changing and the good times are over I would not ignore the great opportunities out there in the forex. The one exception to this comment, however, is that I am only looking at the USD/JPY to follow equities to the downside this week. I will comment further on that in another blog post but I think short term trades are pretty speculative to the upside on that pair.
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